Grim Hurricane Prediction will Impact the Stressed Supply Chain
By Patrick Boyle
Executive Director
IgniteLI
Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service, are predicting “above-average hurricane activity this year — which would make it the seventh consecutive above-average hurricane season. NOAA’s outlook for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, which extends from June 1 to November 30, predicts a 65% chance of an above-normal season, a 25% chance of a near-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.” (NOAA) With increased chances of major storm events, IgniteLI, the Manufacturing Consortium of Long Island anticipate longer lead times on imported products to ports along the Eastern Seaboard
For the 2022 hurricane season, NOAA is forecasting a “likely range of 14 to 21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 6 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence.” (NOAA) Current trends in import challenges require logistics managers to act immediately and begin stockpiling products to avoid supply challenges in Fall 2022.
For Import/Export strategy, IgniteLI recommends speaking with Tom Cook, President of Blue Tiger International, an industry subject matter expert and trusted friend of Long Island’s Manufacturing Community. To learn more, click here.
https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2022-atlantic-hurricane-season
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